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Addressing the IPv4/v6 Issue (Again)
Posted by: Jordi on Saturday, September 20, 2003 - 11:10 AM
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An interesting paper on address exhaustion has been published by Geoff Huston. Much of the deployment push for IPv6 is based on the looming shortage of IPv4 addresses. What Houston has done in this paper is to apply several different metrics to the IPv4 address space, to try and derive a prediction of address exhaustion.

The results are surprising: Houston contends that the current trends, if continued, would not exhaust the v4 address space for another 10 to 20 years. It may be that Houston is dead wrong; he admits as much himself – because, at the very least, any `linear' projection is pretty much useless in the face of a disruptive technology or unexpected event. But it's worth knowing that the address equation is much more complex than might be suggested by simple subtraction…

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